Ultimate Longevity Bible

Concept

Pace of Aging

Last updated Sun May 17 2026 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)

What it is

Most biological-age metrics estimate the cumulative state of aging — how old your body looks now. Pace of aging metrics estimate the current rate of biological aging — how fast you are changing per calendar year.

The distinction is similar to the difference between altitude and climbing speed.

Why pace is useful

  • An intervention can fail to change cumulative biological age in 2 years yet noticeably slow the rate of aging during those years — a useful near-term endpoint.
  • Pace is more responsive to recent behaviour and intervention than cumulative age.
  • For intervention trials, slowing the pace of aging is the desired outcome; cumulative biological age is the longer-term consequence.

How pace is measured

  • Pace of Aging (Belsky 2015) — derived from longitudinal change in 19 biomarkers in the Dunedin cohort.
  • DunedinPoAm and DunedinPACE — DNA methylation estimators trained to predict the longitudinal Pace of Aging signal from a single timepoint.
  • DunedinPACE values around 1.0 indicate average aging pace; <1 slower than average, >1 faster.

What changes pace

  • CALERIE trial showed caloric restriction slowed DunedinPACE (Waziry et al. 2023).
  • Lifestyle, smoking cessation, exercise — modest effects.
  • Adversity, stress, smoking, sedentary behaviour — accelerate pace.

Related entries

Daniel Belsky, Epigenetic clocks, CALERIE trial.

References

  • Belsky, D. W. et al. Quantification of biological aging in young adults. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 112, E4104–E4110 (2015).

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