Biomarker
VO2max
Last updated Sun May 17 2026 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
What it is
VO2max is the maximum rate at which the body can take up and use oxygen during exercise, measured in mL O2 per kg of body weight per minute. It integrates pulmonary, cardiac, vascular, and mitochondrial capacity. Direct measurement is via cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) with a gas-exchange mask on a treadmill or bike. Smartwatches estimate it indirectly with modest accuracy.
Why it matters
VO2max is one of the strongest known predictors of all-cause mortality. The Cleveland Clinic analysis of >120,000 treadmill tests showed the lowest-fitness quintile carried a hazard ratio for mortality roughly equivalent to (or larger than) that conferred by smoking, type-2 diabetes, or established coronary disease.
Above-average fitness in midlife predicts dramatically lower risk of cardiovascular disease, dementia, and frailty in later decades.
Typical values
- Sedentary 40-year-old: ~30–35 mL/kg/min.
- Recreationally active: ~40–50.
- Trained endurance athlete (40 yr): ~55–70.
- Elite endurance athlete: >70.
Values decline ~10% per decade after age 30; the absolute decline rate is attenuated by training but the slope is similar.
What moves it
Exercise is the only modifier that reliably shifts VO2max meaningfully. A mix of long, easy aerobic (“zone 2”) and short, hard intervals (often 4×4 minutes) is the most efficient training combination for older adults.
Related entries
See also: Exercise, Mitochondrial dysfunction.
References
- Mandsager, K. et al. Association of cardiorespiratory fitness with long-term mortality among adults undergoing exercise treadmill testing. JAMA Netw. Open 1, e183605 (2018).